The Syrian situation, what it means, and what we should do are the topics covered for the September 11 edition of The Political Rant.
You know the situation. For over two years, Syria has been involved in a bloody civil war, with the government of barbaric President Bashir al-Assad on one side, and rebel forces--many sympathetic to al-Qaeda --on the other. Although the United States has remained neutral during this time, that changed after, on August 21, Assad used chemical weapons on his enemies, killing over a thousand in one attack. Last year, President Obama said chemical weapons were a "red line" that if Assad crossed, would demand a response by the United States. After that line was violated, the world waited to see if Obama would keep his word and make good on his threat.
After much discussion, and even an attempt by the President to say he didn't actually use the red line phrase (which is on tape) he made the decision that Assad had to go.
The United Nations promptly said no.
So he said we would go anyway.
This kind of cowboy approach, which he himself condemned in his predecessor, made for some strange bedfellows. The aforementioned George W Bush has indicated support for military intervention. His former Vice-President, Dick Cheney, is against it, as are right wing commentators Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity. Former President Bill Clinton and his wife, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton support it. The left wing anti-GOP hate group Move On is opposed.
Two days ago, it looked like President Obama was going to ask a distrustful nation, on national television, to support such action, while also asking a skeptical Congress to formally grant him authorization to use force. Things looked bad for Mr. Obama--most everyone gave him little hope to change minds. To come away from the public and the Congress empty handed would, said all the pundits, have left him with a fatally wounded presidency.
Then John Kerry stumbled his way into a win for Obama, much like Wilber Parmenter in the opening credits to the old sitcom "F-Troop".
Kerry, our current Secretary of State, made an offhand comment Monday that if Assad gave up his weapons of mass destruction immediately, then sure war could be averted, but hey, Assad's not going to do THAT.....
Immediately, Vladimir Putin, the President of Russia, sprang into action. He endorsed the idea of an international group taking control of the Syrian chemical weapons, in exchange for an American promise not to take military action against Syria. And Syria immediately accepted.
Sounds great, right? Not so fast.....
Putin is a mentor to Assad. Nothing happens in Syria that Putin forbids. A fair amount of 'normal' weapons in the hands of Syrian forces comes from Putin's Russia. The most likely scenario is that as soon as Kerry made his off the cuff comment about Syria surrendering weapons, the wheels started turning in Putin's head, and he saw a way to:
A) save Assad;
B) Make him, Putin, a hero in parts of the Middle East;
C) Diminish the influence of the United States in the Middle East, and increase the influence of Russia.
Which will now probably happen.
Note I said 'probably'. A lot can still happen. It will be months before any plausible commission, group, whatever, can go to Syria and account for all the chemical weapons Assad has. Assad could try and hide some. All the diplomacy we're now trying--and we should use all diplomatic channels available--could disintegrate. And then we'll be back to where we are now.
And if that does happen...we should help put down Assad. He is a Hitler-like pawn of Putin, and will therefore work against us if so ordered. The world needs to know we're not taking dictators who wish us ill lightly. They need to lose sleep over us.
As for the rebels, they get to make a decision if we help them take down Assad. Will they continue to support al-Qaeda, or will they show loyalty to those who saved them (yes, I do mean more loyalty than we've seen from the people of Iraq and Afghanistan)? If they choose the former, they need to know that plotting against us, or attacking Israel means they get Assad's fate.
Whatever action we take, it's important the world knows we aren't afraid to use military force to crush any government, any movement, that wants to threaten us.
As I write this, it's only a few minutes before September 11, 2013.
9/11.



